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Where the US polls wrong?

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James Eagle's avatar
James Eagle
Nov 19, 2024
∙ Paid

Let's talk about a curious paradox in political polling. The polls in recent US elections were actually more accurate than you might think, but that's not how it felt to most Americans.

Here's the reality: polls missed the mark by about three points. That's better than four years ago and pretty much average historically. In fact, state-level polls were more accurate this time than in 2016 or 2020.

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