KILLER CHARTS

KILLER CHARTS

The US still imports heavy crude oil

Five charts to start to day

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James Eagle
Jan 15, 2026
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CHART 1 • The US still imports heavy crude oil

Refineries on the US Gulf Coast were built to process thick, sulphur rich oil shipped in from abroad. Those plants were not designed for the light shale oil that now dominates domestic production, and changing them is slow and costly.

Over time, imported crude has become more heavily weighted towards heavy grades even as overall imports fell. Domestic output surged at the light end, but refineries still needed heavier barrels to keep running efficiently. Imports adjusted to fill that gap rather than disappearing.

The assumption is that rising domestic production removes dependence on foreign oil. The constraint is refinery design. Energy security is not just about how much oil is produced, but whether the system can process the oil available.

What happens to US fuel markets if heavy crude supply is disrupted rather than total oil supply?

Source: Statista

What stands out to me is how often confidence is built on abstractions. Barrels in the ground. GDP on a league table. Revenue growth on a slide. All useful, but incomplete. Real outcomes depend on whether systems can actually deliver when stress arrives.

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